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Dow enters bear territory

"We believe that consumers are now be being tempted to undertake increased borrowing, even at exorbitantly high credit card rates, to offset the newly increased costs of their mortgages. If we are correct, it is worrying in the extreme, because it points to growing consumer insolvency — an insolvency that threatens far worse than recession." - John Browne
 

Fed faces gigantic insolvency time bomb...

“… the disaster back in the 1920's, My children, was as nothing compared to what will happen now. I talk of a great depression coming upon mankind." - Jesus, October 1, 1988

John Browne of MoneyNews.com reported on August 30, 2007:

In a most perceptive article, Ambrose Evans-Pritchard of the Telegraph warns, as we have done in the past, that an "insolvency" crunch could well follow our present liquidity crunch.

Meanwhile, our political leaders and Wall Street "cheerleaders" have succeeded in encouraging investors to believe that things are not too bad, corrections should be expected, and now is a good time to bargain hunt on market dips.

These "cheerleaders" (mostly managing funds that are "long" the market) persist in merely saying that the U.S. economy "may" be slowing.

In debate, they question aggressively the validity of any lead indicators, such as new housing starts, average work week, capital good orders and same store sales, in denying the possibility of a recession.

We prefer to look at "lead" indicators such as: average work week, same store sales, and capital goods orders (excluding defense and aircraft).

Our analysis shows that we are already appear to be trending, quite steeply, towards a recession.

Some other notable observers are at long last starting to agree with us.

Reuters reports that, in an ABC interview on August 26th, Lawrence H. Summers, former Treasury Secretary, said, "I do not think we yet would have a basis for making a prediction that there will be a recession. But I would say that the risks of recession are now greater than they've been anytime since the period in the aftermath of 9/11."

Today, John Bogle of Vanguard said, on CNBC, that he felt there was now a 75 percent chance of recession. This is particularly noteworthy as Vanguard is big and "long" the markets.

CNBC has just had an economist point out that even GDP (a coincident indicator), indicates, over the past five quarters, a downward trend to 1.95 percent growth. If the estimates for the third quarter are included, he said it would indicate a 1.5 percent growth rate.

This all points increasingly towards recession.

It is also interesting to note that both the European Central Bank and the Bank of England are now dropping hints that appear to indicate that they are likely to abandon their plans to increase their rates in the near future.

It is probable that they fear a recession in the United States may lead to a worldwide economic slowdown.

As we have said before, the prospect of recession is not the only bogy that our Fed now faces.

The Fed also faces a credit crunch, a possible insolvency crisis, inflationary pressures, a possible run on our dollar and financial markets that now expect a rate cut.

As we said in a recent issue, we believe the Fed is not asleep at the wheel, but frozen in fear at what it sees.

We must always remember that our Fed is somewhat limited in what it can achieve.

As we have said for many months, Ben Bernanke inherited the "Great Inflation Lie" — a lie which was the building block for the gigantic and reckless asset boom we have witnessed these past few years.

It was also a lie that has led directly to the massive erosion of our dollar.

By pumping in massive liquidity and by allowing the discount rate to fall, the Fed acted reasonably promptly to counter the risk of the inter-bank lending market grinding to a halt.

The Fed also did its utmost to encourage the banks to lend. But, armed only with the "string" of encouragement, it could not force the banks to on-lend the new liquidity.

The $2.2 trillion Commercial Paper (CP) market is still in trouble and so are its clients. Unfortunately, many of our corporations role-over much of their short-term debt in the CP market.

This inability to role-over short-term debt, coupled with a more restrictive lending policy by banks and falling sales, could soon lead to a wave of corporate insolvency.

We already know that many consumers are facing rate re-sets in their ARM mortgages.

Worse still, we know that many home owners, led by teaser rates, took out mortgages that they could not truly afford. They are now stuck in a vicious cleft stick.

My colleague David Frazier points out that consumer debt as a percentage of disposable income recently rebounded, after trending lower over the past two years. (See Chart 1 —a proprietary ratio computed by our sister publication, Financial Intelligence Report.)


 

A rise in debt at a time like this is unusual. Normally, the percentage of consumer debt rises in the "good" times of an economic expansion. It usually falls back when times are bad and the economy retracts.

We believe that consumers are now be being tempted to undertake increased borrowing, even at exorbitantly high credit card rates, to offset the newly increased costs of their mortgages.

If we are correct, it is worrying in the extreme, because it points to growing consumer insolvency — an insolvency that threatens far worse than recession.

We are deeply concerned that, as Ambrose Evans-Pritchard hints, our present credit crunch could all too easily precipitate an insolvency crisis.

An insolvency crisis, spread amongst corporations and retail consumers, is a spectacle that should cause shivers to run down the backs of certain speculative investors, especially those who are leveraged.

As we have long predicted, cash is already king. Now, it is set to become an emperor.


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"My child and My children, the days will grow darker, and there will be hunger in your land. Yes, My child, what I brought you here for this evening is to tell the world that there will be a crash in the monetary doings of your government—an absolute crash that will affect every man, woman, and child in the United States and Canada, and then, like a serpent, creep all over Europe, until the world sees one big, massive depression. I can illustrate to you, My children, what I mean by this monetary depression.
    "Should you go and wish to buy a small instrument, even a guitar, that We hear plucking away at the dervishly, and devilry, of what is called the musical Mass, strung by guitars, and other creations of satan. My child, I go on to tell you, you will say that the guitar is not a costly item, but in order to buy this guitar you will carry an actual satchel, an overnight bag-size, My child—let Us put it that way clearly—of notes, your currency. It will take a whole suitcase of paper—paper money that no longer has a value. You will soon be reduced to bartering for your food.
     "My child, I know you are affrighted at this word 'war'; 'death', 'turmoil', 'depression', but what can I do but tell you the truth. I cannot smooth over it, for I would be accepted like those upon earth who like ostriches, they walk about, proud in their scientific knowledge." - Our Lady of the Roses, September 7, 1985

The awesome Bayside Prophecies...  https://www.tldm.org/Bayside/default.htm  
These prophecies came from Jesus, Mary, and the saints to Veronica Lueken at Bayside, NY, from 1968 to 1995:

A godless nation shall fall! . . .
"Without My Son you are lost. A godless nation shall fall. A nation that has been eaten away and rotted by sin shall fall. A nation that has turned itself back and regressed to a state of animal living bordering on all sins of the flesh and impurity; given over to all manner of seeking things of the world; power, lust, envy, hate, murders, abortions, worship of false idols; loving money, power, and lacking the instinct of survival when survival can only be reached by pleading from them to the merciful heart of the Eternal Father." - Our Lady, June 13, 1981

A great money disaster . . .
"My child and My children, pray a constant vigilance of prayer.  Keep this going throughout the United States and all of the nations of the world, for there is little time left. Soon, in the plans of the Eternal Father, He shall set forth and allow to come upon mankind, a great money disaster.  In this way it will prove to you that the disaster back in the 1920's, My children, was as nothing compared to what will happen now.  I talk of a great depression coming upon mankind." - Jesus, October 1, 1988

Destruction of the world monetary systems . . .
"You will understand and broadcast the message to the world that there will be a great destruction in the monetary systems of the world.  It will affect both the United States and Canada, and all the great powers of the world. And I repeat again:  You will go to your stores to do your shopping carrying papers which may as well be newspapers, for the value they will have to purchase even food will be nil.
    "How can a great country like the United States fall, you say, My child?  You ask Me in your heart. I read your heart.  I will tell you why. Because they have given themselves over to satan.  When a country has lost its morality and seeks the pleasures of the flesh, giving over, themselves over, to all manner of abominations, like homosexuality, and condoning this up the highest courts of the land, then that country shall fall." - Our Lady, November 1, 1985

Gathering of the world's money to control the masses . . .
"Man shall not create a new world as he seeks.  For there cannot be a lasting world without His God.  And I speak not of the false idols and gods that man creates in his human nature!  There is only one Creator.
    "You who cast aside this knowledge and choose to set yourselves up by power and the gathering of the world's money to control the masses, you will find that all of your power and all of your volumes of gold and silver cannot hold back the heavens as they descend upon you in a just chastisement.  The world, the earth shall tremble, fear shall come upon mankind as he watches the approach of the destruction that he himself has chosen to set loose." - Jesus, February 10, 1978

Evil force like an octopus . . .
"There is a great evil force now enshrouding your world; it is like an octopus reaching out in every direction to ensnare the world.  It is a force of evil set up by satan.  There are many arms of the octopus controlled by the monies of the world.
    "For the love of money and riches, many will sell their souls to get to the head. O My children, what do you gain if you gather all of the riches of the world and destroy your soul. When you come over the veil, and you will come over the veil, what will you bring with you - nothing of the material.  You must gather your riches in Heaven now.  They are supernatural: the graces, the merits that will allow you to enter into the Kingdom of
your God." - Our Lady, June 24, 1976

The Illuminati . . .
"There is a group in the United States and the world, a group that started many years ago, calling itself the Illuminati, coming from the word 'light bearer'. Naturally, My children, this light that they bear stands for Lucifer, and as such they have gone through the world secretly known as Luciferians.  They have brought into your country, the United States, and your neighbor Canada, a group of witchcraft practices.  Well have they laid their plan to destroy your children with drugs, using your school systems, your medias of communication, your newspapers, your televisions, your radios: every means of communication has been infiltrated by the member and sub-members of the Illuminati, a conglomeration of individuals and powers and principalities throughout the world, and banking systems.  As you well know, My children, money has always been the root of all evil, and many have sold their souls to get to the head." - Our Lady, November 25, 1978

You are worshiping idols . . .

"My children, you must change your values back to the plan of your God. As a nation, as a country, as in many countries throughout the world, you have become paganized and immoral. My children, it is the gauge for the fall of mankind: immorality and paganism. No nation shall stand without its God, the God in Heaven.
     "Man is creating many new gods, gods to feed his human nature; and it is a basic carnal nature. Idolaters abound. When you worship in abundance things, My children, you are worshiping idols! If you spend your time gathering things, money, power, you are worshiping idols. Remove yourself from these worldly pursuits.
     "It is a narrow road to the Kingdom of your God, Heaven. Many are called but few are chosen. The road with satan is wide. Many walk it and can never leave, because there are too few prayers said for them and by them.
     "Nothing is impossible to your God. Man shall never reach the highest pinnacle of Heaven in knowledge." - Jesus, March 18, 1978

graphicMany will sell their souls to get to the head . . .
"The road to Heaven, My children, is a narrow one; too few stay upon it.  For they are often carried away with the cares of the world, and the pleasures of the materialistic pursuits, and their gathering of money and prestige and power.  For what?  For the few short years allotted to each human upon earth.  I ask you to ask yourself: is it worth it to lose your soul?  Many will sell their souls to get to the head." - Our Lady, November 20, 1979

Gather your graces . . .
"You cannot accept two masters. One you will love, and the other you will learn to hate. And remember, My children, where your treasures are, your heart will always lie. And better that you gather your treasures in a place where there is neither rusting, nor attacks by moths, and robbers cannot take them from you. Store your treasures in Heaven, My children. Gather your graces. You must ransom your soul and the souls of your children, your households. Do not wait expecting to be repatriated at the last moment, My children. Many are coming across the veil unprepared, and, sadly, they cannot be accepted into the Kingdom." - Jesus, August 5, 1977

Store canned goods, water and blankets . . .
"My children, I caution you now, and I wish that you remember these instructions from several years ago in earth's time that I gave to you, to keep in your homes a good supply of canned good.  They have shelf value, My children, they will not spoil. But better that you keep them and they spoil than to have come upon you the great Chastisement.  It will be a ball of fire which will ignite many of the chemicals that are being stored up for the destruction of the nations.
    "My children, not only with the canned foods will you store just food, but you must also make known to your families and your friends that they had best keep blankets and water in tight containers; for there will be on the onset of the Chastisement, there will be nothing that you can buy due to contamination." - Our Lady, July 1, 1985

Read the Bayside Prophecies:
   
  September 7, 1985 message -- World monetary crash: "One massive depression" (click here)Eve of the Feast of the Nativity of Our Lady - 9/7/85

Directives...

D213 - Riches, Part 1   PDF Logo PDF
D214 - Riches, Part 2   PDF Logo PDF
D215 - Money   PDF Logo PDF
D307 -
Monetary crash
New

Articles...

Dollar collapse, stock market sell-off looms
https://www.tldm.org/News11/StockMarketSell-offLooms.htm

No time to sit and watch: "What we have on our hands here, folks, is a full-blown, global financial crisis"
https://www.tldm.org/News11/GlobalFinancialCrisis.htm

World stock markets spiral lower
https://www.tldm.org/News11/WorldStockMarketsSpiral.htm

Fed OD’s on liquidity but risks depression
https://www.tldm.org/News11/FedRisksDepression.htm

U.S. Comptroller General: Learn from the fall of Rome
https://www.tldm.org/News11/ComptrollerGeneralFallOfRome.htm

Perfect storm of debt rattles Wall Street
https://www.tldm.org/News11/PerfectStormOfDebt.htm

Asian stocks tumble the most in five months on credit concern
https://www.tldm.org/News11/AsianStocksTumble.htm

Subprime panic points to taxpayer bailout
https://www.tldm.org/News11/SubprimePanicTaxpayerBailout.htm

Fed cowardice invites catastrophe
https://www.tldm.org/News11/FedCowardiceInvitesCatastrophe.htm

Foreign money props U.S. economy
https://www.tldm.org/News11/ForeignMoneyPropsUSEconomy.htm

The worst isn't over in mortgage meltdown
https://www.tldm.org/News11/MortgageMeltdown.htm

U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson: Coming financial crash shows need for immediate monetary reform
https://www.tldm.org/News11/PaulsonComingFinancialCrash.htm

Slow demise of the mighty greenback
https://www.tldm.org/News11/DemiseOfMightyGreenback.htm

Credit spree could cause 1930s-style depression
https://www.tldm.org/News11/CreditSpreeCouldCauseDepression.htm

Gloom gathers over U.S. economy
https://www.tldm.org/News10/GloomGathersUSEconomy.htm

It’s official: The crash of the U.S. economy has begun
https://www.tldm.org/News10/CrashOfUSEconomyHasBegun.htm

The plan to destroy America - via the dollar
https://www.tldm.org/News9/PlanToDestroyAmericaViaDollar.htm

Oil producers shun the dollar; Russia and Opec shift revenues into euros, yen and sterling
https://www.tldm.org/News9/OilProducersShunDollar.htm

U.S. Comptroller General warns the nation of economic calamity
https://www.tldm.org/news9/MonetaryCrashComptrollerGeneral.htm

Central banks caught in gold squeeze may crush dollar
https://www.tldm.org/News9/goldSqueezeMayCrushDollar.htm

Links...

Video: Money expert Jim Cramer of CNBC - "They're nuts, they know nothing! ... In the fixed income market, we have Armageddon"
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SWksEJQEYVU

Wall Street tremors, Asian markets' tsunami, Forbes.com, August 10, 2007
http://www.forbes.com/markets/2007/08/10/asian-markets-roundup-markets-equity-cx_vk_0810markets03.html

World markets rattled amid Dow Jones crash, ABC News Australia, August 10, 2007
http://abc.net.au/news/stories/2007/08/10/2001292.htm?section=business

Risky home loans run a fever, and the market prays it doesn't spread, U.S. News and World Report, July 15, 2007
http://www.usnews.com/usnews/biztech/articles/070715/23subprime.htm

U.S. dollar facing imminent collapse? WorldNetDaily, December 10, 2006
http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=53311

USA Today report: Real federal deficit 3.5 trillion, Newsmax, August 3, 2006
http://www.newsmax.com/archives/articles/2006/8/3/123820.shtml?s=lh

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    "I must ask you all to read but a few short chapters a day now, the Book of life and love, your Bible. Knowledge must be gained for all the disciples of My Son, for you will be attacked by scientific minds. But do not be concerned what you will say to them when accosted, for the words will be given to you by the Spirit." - Our Lady, April 10, 1976
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    This Heaven’s Personal Protection Packet is available for a donation of $5.00 plus $3.00 shipping and handling. Send $8.00 to TLD Ministries, P.O. Box 40, Lowell, MI 49331. You may use your MasterCard, VISA, or American Express and call 1-616-698-6448.  Item # P5
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Your names have been written in Heaven… "It is not by accident that you are called by My Mother, for your names have been written in Heaven.... But with this great grace you have great responsibility to send this Message from Heaven throughout the world, for if you are able to recover just one more for Heaven, an additional star shall be placed in your crown." - Jesus, August 5, 1975

A great obligation to go forward... "It is not by accident that you are called by My Mother, for it is by merit and the prayers that have risen to Heaven for your salvation.  For those who have received the grace to hear the Message from Heaven, you have a great obligation to go forward and bring this Message to your brothers and sisters.  Do not expect a rest upon your earth, for you will have eternal rest very soon." - Jesus, June 12, 1976

The sin of omission...  "The sin of omission shall condemn many to hell, be they layman or Hierarchy.  I repeat:  not the sin of commission, but the sin of omission will commit many to hell."  Our Lady of the Roses,  October 6, 1980

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