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This record level of unsold homes led the National Association of Realtors to announce last week that home values are on track to experience their first annual decline since the Great Depression of the 1930s

Credit crunch hits the consumer — foreclosures double...

“… the disaster back in the 1920's, My children, was as nothing compared to what will happen now. I talk of a great depression coming upon mankind." - Jesus, October 1, 1988

David Frazier of MoneyNews.com reported on August 22, 2007:

While the major financial media continues to focus on the credit crunch that is affecting the banking system, they may be overlooking a more troublesome development: The credit crunch is also starting to affect the consumer.

For example, consumer spending fell to an annualized increase of only 1.4 percent in July — the slowest since September 2006 and well below the average increase of 7.0 percent over the past six months. This is a very important development because consumer spending accounts for 70 percent of the nation's total output of goods and services.

Meanwhile, huge increases in the number of home foreclosures over the past several months suggest consumers will continue to tighten their purses, as the employment situation weakens and consumers' wealth deteriorates.

Foreclosures almost doubled during July, rising to 179,599 from 92,845 in the same period a year ago. The situation is likely to worsen over the coming months, with RealtyTrac expecting 2 million foreclosures to be filed for the full year in 2007.

As foreclosures rise, home values are expected to continue to deteriorate as banks unload the homes they take over onto a market that is already experiencing a record level of unsold homes. For example, the inventory of new homes currently available for sale is expected to remain unsold for the next nine months.

This record level of unsold homes led the National Association of Realtors to announce last week that home values are on track to experience their first annual decline since the Great Depression of the 1930s; new home prices have already fallen 6.5 percent over the past six months.

Sir John Templeton first warned in the pages of Financial Intelligence Report that housing prices could fall up to 50 percent. Go here now.

These falling home values are significantly reducing consumers' wealth — real estate holdings account for the largest percentage of household wealth. Meanwhile, the recent declines in stock prices are also causing consumers' wealth to deteriorate.

With consumer incomes rising only modestly, their debt levels near all-time highs, and their wealth declining, there's a good chance consumer spending will continue to fall over the coming months.

A good example of how consumers have begun to cut back on their shopping at the local mall came from last month's retail same-store sales reports, as aggregate same-store sales at the nations' retail chains during June were the worst since March 2003.

My research indicates that same-store sales will continue to deteriorate and that the holiday shopping season this winter will be the worst since 2002, as banks tighten their lending standards and more than a million adjustable-rate mortgages reset to significantly higher rates.

But, instead of waiting for these developments to occur and for stock prices to fall, you might want to start reading our Financial Intelligence Report, which focuses on covering these types of events before they unfold.

This monthly newsletter warned its subscribers several months ago about the impending credit crunch and how to protect your portfolio from the ongoing housing slump. Click here to read editor John Browne's latest comments on how to profit from falling stock prices and rising bond prices.
 

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In the current slide, history offers little comfort...

The Salt Lake Tribune reported on August 17, 2007:

Incipient panic has reigned in U.S. financial markets over the past couple of weeks, and no wonder. Some hedge funds have blown up, the country's second-largest mortgage lender has come close to collapse and stocks have fallen. On Friday, the Federal Reserve Bank lowered a key interest rate to help calm things down.

Yet most economists insist that Main Street will trundle along just fine, regardless of what happens on Wall Street. But will it?

It's true that some panics pass without consequence. But there are times - think October 1929 - when the tremors on Wall Street anticipate a more widespread economic storm. Given the tremendous run-up of debt in recent years, there's a good chance that today's credit crunch will turn out to be more than just a wisp of cloud in an otherwise blue sky.

Such wisps, to be sure, have appeared before. On Oct. 19, 1987, stocks fell by 22 percent. Nearly 60 brokerages went bankrupt, and many worried that a depression was around the corner. The fears were overblown. It turned out that the causes of the crash were merely technical. A large number of investors had been following a particular strategy, known as portfolio insurance, which required them to sell stocks automatically as the market fell. That created a cascade of forced selling. As the panic hit, the Federal Reserve Bank, with Alan Greenspan at the reins, rode to the rescue, providing money for the financial system.

The stock market soon recovered.

The hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management started to collapse in the early fall of 1998. This fund, run by a bunch of the smartest traders on Wall Street aided by a pair of Nobel laureates, had borrowed about $25 for every dollar of its own capital. The market went haywire as Long-Term's huge holdings in equities, bonds and other securities were sold. It turned out that many other investors had placed similar trades, also funded with borrowed money. Once again, the Federal Reserve performed its duty, providing liquidity to the financial system and even cutting interest rates. Over the next six months, technology stocks listed on the Nasdaq exchange soared by more than 50 percent.

The 1987 crash and the Long-Term Capital debacle each involved a "liquidity crisis." Forced sales of financial securities drove down prices, creating a panic and temporarily straining the capacity of the financial system. But liquidity crises per se have little, if any, economic significance. Provided the problem is contained relatively early on, a recession can be avoided.

Is that what will happen this time? In his 1873 book, Lombard Street, British financial journalist Walter Bagehot described how fear spreads in financial circles: "Incipient panic starts with a 'vague conversation.' People are talked about every day, (and) as a panic grows, this floating suspicion becomes both more intense and more diffused: it attacks more persons, and attacks them all the more virulently than at first." At times such as these, Bagehot wrote, "men of experience" bolster their positions by borrowing money while it's still available. However, "minor money dealers come under suspicion" and have trouble finding funds.

That's a pretty good description of what has happened in the financial markets over the past month or so. In mid-June, a couple of hedge funds run by the brokerage house Bear Stearns announced surprise losses on investments in supposedly safe triple-A-rated mortgage securities. Over the following weeks, suspicions grew. Several other hedge funds, in the United States and abroad, have imploded. A small bank in Dusseldorf, Germany, which was supposedly funding mid-size industrial companies, has had to be bailed out by German taxpayers after it announced large losses on liabilities kept off its books (shades of Enron). In Canada, a firm that helps companies issue commercial paper - the stuff that goes into money market funds - experienced problems rolling over its debts. People have suddenly realized that many money market funds were lending money to obscure investment vehicles that used their money to invest in subprime mortgage securities. Countrywide Financial, the second-largest provider of mortgages in the United States, has been forced to draw on emergency funding from other banks to stay afloat.

When fear replaced greed in the financial markets, Bagehot knew what the authorities should do. "A panic grows by what it feeds upon," he wrote. It "is a species of neuralgia, and according to the rules of science you must not starve it." Providing that the central bank lends freely at such times, the panic will pass. Over time, Bagehot's advice has become the orthodox practice of central bankers, whose main purpose is to act as "lender of the last resort." Both the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank have dutifully performed this function over the past couple of weeks.

Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson believes that the recent flurry in the markets will have little lasting impact. A recent poll taken by Consensus Economics finds that most economists expect the United States to return to about 3 percent growth next year, which is about the average growth rate for the economy. But that's assuming that the recent credit crunch is merely a passing liquidity event, like the 1987 crash.

There are times, however, when credit booms have more profound consequences. Research suggests that severe financial crises tend to follow the rapid expansion of credit. The longer the credit boom endures, the more severe the hangover. Furthermore, because real estate is not liquid and the process of foreclosing on defaulted mortgage loans is time-consuming, the economic downturns that follow property booms tend to be deeper and to last longer.

The experience of the U.S. economy after the 1920s and that of Japan in the 1990s appears to confirm these findings. In both instances, the period of credit expansion lasted several years, largely involved real estate speculation, and came to involve much of the population, whether that meant plunging into American stocks with borrowed money in 1929 or buying Tokyo condos with 100-year mortgages in the late 1980s.

Some economists take heart in the fact that inflation is currently quiescent. This ignores that the longest-lasting American crises over the past two centuries - those of 1837, 1873 and 1929 - have each followed periods in which consumer prices were relatively stable. Needless to say, during the preceding booms, real estate and stock prices, fueled by rapid credit expansion, had soared.

The quality of lending and the "soundness" of credit also have a bearing on the extent of a crisis. Commenting on the collapse of Overend, Gurney and Co., a leading London bank, in 1866, Bagehot wrote that "losses were made in a manner so reckless and so foolish, that one would think a child who had lent money in the City of London would have lent it better." What would Bagehot have made of the so-called NINJA loans of recent years, supplied to homebuyers with "No Income, No Job and No Assets"? He may have raised an eyebrow at the "liar loans" given to those who falsified the information on their mortgage applications and would certainly have expressed disdain for the loans, many without traditional covenant protection for lenders, that until recently financed corporate buyouts.

Finally, a credit crunch is likely to have a bigger impact when the financial system has become weak. The so-called Long Depression that started in 1873 was sparked by the collapse of Jay Cooke and Co., one of the largest U.S. banks. More than 2,000 banks in the United States failed in 1931. These failures wreaked havoc on the economy. Banking failures and bad debts plagued the Japanese financial system throughout the 1990s.

There's a good chance that the current panic will give way to a full-blown economic crisis. That's because the credit boom has been going on for five frenetic years and virtually everyone has become involved, either directly or indirectly. An increasing number of businesses, from motorcycle retailers to cellphone operators, are finding their sales affected by the subprime debacle, according to the Web site Footnoted.org. Household spending continues to exceed income by a large margin. If credit stops flowing to consumers, the economy is bound to suffer.

Many people, including Treasury Secretary Paulson, say the financial system is robust enough to weather the crisis. It's true that, after many fat years, banks have lots of capital. But that was also the case in October 1929.

I believe that something profound has happened in recent weeks. The credit system is losing its, well, credibility. People no longer trust the triple-A ratings that many complex debt securities carry. The risk models used by rating agencies, hedge funds and banks have also come under suspicion. The effects of subprime losses are being felt in unexpected places, including supposedly impregnable money market funds. Hedge funds and other highly leveraged investment vehicles are being forced to unwind. After years of excess, credit is beginning to contract.

There has been a "run on Wall Street finance," said Doug Noland, editor of the online Credit Bubble Bulletin.

But no one knows how long it will last, or where it will end.


Email this page to a friend.

"My child and My children, the days will grow darker, and there will be hunger in your land. Yes, My child, what I brought you here for this evening is to tell the world that there will be a crash in the monetary doings of your government—an absolute crash that will affect every man, woman, and child in the United States and Canada, and then, like a serpent, creep all over Europe, until the world sees one big, massive depression. I can illustrate to you, My children, what I mean by this monetary depression.
    "Should you go and wish to buy a small instrument, even a guitar, that We hear plucking away at the dervishly, and devilry, of what is called the musical Mass, strung by guitars, and other creations of satan. My child, I go on to tell you, you will say that the guitar is not a costly item, but in order to buy this guitar you will carry an actual satchel, an overnight bag-size, My child—let Us put it that way clearly—of notes, your currency. It will take a whole suitcase of paper—paper money that no longer has a value. You will soon be reduced to bartering for your food.
     "My child, I know you are affrighted at this word 'war'; 'death', 'turmoil', 'depression', but what can I do but tell you the truth. I cannot smooth over it, for I would be accepted like those upon earth who like ostriches, they walk about, proud in their scientific knowledge." - Our Lady of the Roses, September 7, 1985

The awesome Bayside Prophecies...  https://www.tldm.org/Bayside/default.htm  
These prophecies came from Jesus, Mary, and the saints to Veronica Lueken at Bayside, NY, from 1968 to 1995:

A godless nation shall fall! . . .
"Without My Son you are lost. A godless nation shall fall. A nation that has been eaten away and rotted by sin shall fall. A nation that has turned itself back and regressed to a state of animal living bordering on all sins of the flesh and impurity; given over to all manner of seeking things of the world; power, lust, envy, hate, murders, abortions, worship of false idols; loving money, power, and lacking the instinct of survival when survival can only be reached by pleading from them to the merciful heart of the Eternal Father." - Our Lady, June 13, 1981

A great money disaster . . .
"My child and My children, pray a constant vigilance of prayer.  Keep this going throughout the United States and all of the nations of the world, for there is little time left. Soon, in the plans of the Eternal Father, He shall set forth and allow to come upon mankind, a great money disaster.  In this way it will prove to you that the disaster back in the 1920's, My children, was as nothing compared to what will happen now.  I talk of a great depression coming upon mankind." - Jesus, October 1, 1988

Destruction of the world monetary systems . . .
"You will understand and broadcast the message to the world that there will be a great destruction in the monetary systems of the world.  It will affect both the United States and Canada, and all the great powers of the world. And I repeat again:  You will go to your stores to do your shopping carrying papers which may as well be newspapers, for the value they will have to purchase even food will be nil.
    "How can a great country like the United States fall, you say, My child?  You ask Me in your heart. I read your heart.  I will tell you why. Because they have given themselves over to satan.  When a country has lost its morality and seeks the pleasures of the flesh, giving over, themselves over, to all manner of abominations, like homosexuality, and condoning this up the highest courts of the land, then that country shall fall." - Our Lady, November 1, 1985

Gathering of the world's money to control the masses . . .
"Man shall not create a new world as he seeks.  For there cannot be a lasting world without His God.  And I speak not of the false idols and gods that man creates in his human nature!  There is only one Creator.
    "You who cast aside this knowledge and choose to set yourselves up by power and the gathering of the world's money to control the masses, you will find that all of your power and all of your volumes of gold and silver cannot hold back the heavens as they descend upon you in a just chastisement.  The world, the earth shall tremble, fear shall come upon mankind as he watches the approach of the destruction that he himself has chosen to set loose." - Jesus, February 10, 1978

Evil force like an octopus . . .
"There is a great evil force now enshrouding your world; it is like an octopus reaching out in every direction to ensnare the world.  It is a force of evil set up by satan.  There are many arms of the octopus controlled by the monies of the world.
    "For the love of money and riches, many will sell their souls to get to the head. O My children, what do you gain if you gather all of the riches of the world and destroy your soul. When you come over the veil, and you will come over the veil, what will you bring with you - nothing of the material.  You must gather your riches in Heaven now.  They are supernatural: the graces, the merits that will allow you to enter into the Kingdom of
your God." - Our Lady, June 24, 1976

The Illuminati . . .
"There is a group in the United States and the world, a group that started many years ago, calling itself the Illuminati, coming from the word 'light bearer'. Naturally, My children, this light that they bear stands for Lucifer, and as such they have gone through the world secretly known as Luciferians.  They have brought into your country, the United States, and your neighbor Canada, a group of witchcraft practices.  Well have they laid their plan to destroy your children with drugs, using your school systems, your medias of communication, your newspapers, your televisions, your radios: every means of communication has been infiltrated by the member and sub-members of the Illuminati, a conglomeration of individuals and powers and principalities throughout the world, and banking systems.  As you well know, My children, money has always been the root of all evil, and many have sold their souls to get to the head." - Our Lady, November 25, 1978

You are worshiping idols . . .

"My children, you must change your values back to the plan of your God. As a nation, as a country, as in many countries throughout the world, you have become paganized and immoral. My children, it is the gauge for the fall of mankind: immorality and paganism. No nation shall stand without its God, the God in Heaven.
     "Man is creating many new gods, gods to feed his human nature; and it is a basic carnal nature. Idolaters abound. When you worship in abundance things, My children, you are worshiping idols! If you spend your time gathering things, money, power, you are worshiping idols. Remove yourself from these worldly pursuits.
     "It is a narrow road to the Kingdom of your God, Heaven. Many are called but few are chosen. The road with satan is wide. Many walk it and can never leave, because there are too few prayers said for them and by them.
     "Nothing is impossible to your God. Man shall never reach the highest pinnacle of Heaven in knowledge." - Jesus, March 18, 1978

graphicMany will sell their souls to get to the head . . .
"The road to Heaven, My children, is a narrow one; too few stay upon it.  For they are often carried away with the cares of the world, and the pleasures of the materialistic pursuits, and their gathering of money and prestige and power.  For what?  For the few short years allotted to each human upon earth.  I ask you to ask yourself: is it worth it to lose your soul?  Many will sell their souls to get to the head." - Our Lady, November 20, 1979

Gather your graces . . .
"You cannot accept two masters. One you will love, and the other you will learn to hate. And remember, My children, where your treasures are, your heart will always lie. And better that you gather your treasures in a place where there is neither rusting, nor attacks by moths, and robbers cannot take them from you. Store your treasures in Heaven, My children. Gather your graces. You must ransom your soul and the souls of your children, your households. Do not wait expecting to be repatriated at the last moment, My children. Many are coming across the veil unprepared, and, sadly, they cannot be accepted into the Kingdom." - Jesus, August 5, 1977

Store canned goods, water and blankets . . .
"My children, I caution you now, and I wish that you remember these instructions from several years ago in earth's time that I gave to you, to keep in your homes a good supply of canned good.  They have shelf value, My children, they will not spoil. But better that you keep them and they spoil than to have come upon you the great Chastisement.  It will be a ball of fire which will ignite many of the chemicals that are being stored up for the destruction of the nations.
    "My children, not only with the canned foods will you store just food, but you must also make known to your families and your friends that they had best keep blankets and water in tight containers; for there will be on the onset of the Chastisement, there will be nothing that you can buy due to contamination." - Our Lady, July 1, 1985

Read the Bayside Prophecies:
   
  September 7, 1985 message -- World monetary crash: "One massive depression" (click here)Eve of the Feast of the Nativity of Our Lady - 9/7/85

Directives...

D213 - Riches, Part 1   PDF Logo PDF
D214 - Riches, Part 2   PDF Logo PDF
D215 - Money   PDF Logo PDF
D307 -
Monetary crash
New

Articles...

No time to sit and watch: "What we have on our hands here, folks, is a full-blown, global financial crisis"
https://www.tldm.org/News11/GlobalFinancialCrisis.htm

World stock markets spiral lower
https://www.tldm.org/News11/WorldStockMarketsSpiral.htm

Fed OD’s on liquidity but risks depression
https://www.tldm.org/News11/FedRisksDepression.htm

U.S. Comptroller General: Learn from the fall of Rome
https://www.tldm.org/News11/ComptrollerGeneralFallOfRome.htm

Perfect storm of debt rattles Wall Street
https://www.tldm.org/News11/PerfectStormOfDebt.htm

Asian stocks tumble the most in five months on credit concern
https://www.tldm.org/News11/AsianStocksTumble.htm

Subprime panic points to taxpayer bailout
https://www.tldm.org/News11/SubprimePanicTaxpayerBailout.htm

Fed cowardice invites catastrophe
https://www.tldm.org/News11/FedCowardiceInvitesCatastrophe.htm

Foreign money props U.S. economy
https://www.tldm.org/News11/ForeignMoneyPropsUSEconomy.htm

The worst isn't over in mortgage meltdown
https://www.tldm.org/News11/MortgageMeltdown.htm

U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson: Coming financial crash shows need for immediate monetary reform
https://www.tldm.org/News11/PaulsonComingFinancialCrash.htm

Slow demise of the mighty greenback
https://www.tldm.org/News11/DemiseOfMightyGreenback.htm

Credit spree could cause 1930s-style depression
https://www.tldm.org/News11/CreditSpreeCouldCauseDepression.htm

Gloom gathers over U.S. economy
https://www.tldm.org/News10/GloomGathersUSEconomy.htm

It’s official: The crash of the U.S. economy has begun
https://www.tldm.org/News10/CrashOfUSEconomyHasBegun.htm

The plan to destroy America - via the dollar
https://www.tldm.org/News9/PlanToDestroyAmericaViaDollar.htm

Oil producers shun the dollar; Russia and Opec shift revenues into euros, yen and sterling
https://www.tldm.org/News9/OilProducersShunDollar.htm

U.S. Comptroller General warns the nation of economic calamity
https://www.tldm.org/news9/MonetaryCrashComptrollerGeneral.htm

Central banks caught in gold squeeze may crush dollar
https://www.tldm.org/News9/goldSqueezeMayCrushDollar.htm

Links...

Video: Money expert Jim Cramer of CNBC - "They're nuts, they know nothing! ... In the fixed income market, we have Armageddon"
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SWksEJQEYVU

Wall Street tremors, Asian markets' tsunami, Forbes.com, August 10, 2007
http://www.forbes.com/markets/2007/08/10/asian-markets-roundup-markets-equity-cx_vk_0810markets03.html

World markets rattled amid Dow Jones crash, ABC News Australia, August 10, 2007
http://abc.net.au/news/stories/2007/08/10/2001292.htm?section=business

Risky home loans run a fever, and the market prays it doesn't spread, U.S. News and World Report, July 15, 2007
http://www.usnews.com/usnews/biztech/articles/070715/23subprime.htm

U.S. dollar facing imminent collapse? WorldNetDaily, December 10, 2006
http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=53311

USA Today report: Real federal deficit 3.5 trillion, Newsmax, August 3, 2006
http://www.newsmax.com/archives/articles/2006/8/3/123820.shtml?s=lh

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    "I must ask you all to read but a few short chapters a day now, the Book of life and love, your Bible. Knowledge must be gained for all the disciples of My Son, for you will be attacked by scientific minds. But do not be concerned what you will say to them when accosted, for the words will be given to you by the Spirit." - Our Lady, April 10, 1976
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Our Lady tells us to be protected from all evil, we must wear the following sacramentals around our necks: a Rosary, a crucifix, the St. Benedict medal, Our Lady of the Roses medal, the Miraculous Medal, and the scapular. We have all of these sacramentals in a packet we call "Heaven's Personal Protection Packet." This packet is available for a donation of $5.00 plus $3.00 shipping and handling. Send $8.00 to TLD Ministries, P.O. Box 40, Lowell, MI 49331. Item # P5  (Order Form)

    Our Lady of the Roses, Mary Help of Mothers promises to help protect our children. On September 13, 1977, She said, "He has an army of ogres wandering now throughout your country and all of the countries of the world. They are in possession of great power; so wear your sacramentals, and protect your children and your households. Learn the use every day of holy water throughout your household. Insist even with obstructions, insist that your children always wear a sacramental. One day they will understand that they will repel the demons."
    On February 1, 1974, Our Lady said, "My children, know the value of these sacramentals. Guard your children well. You must awaken to the knowledge that you will not be protected without the sacramentals. Guard your children's souls. They must be surrounded with an aura of purity. Remove them if necessary from the sources of contamination, be it your schools or even false pastors."
    This Heaven’s Personal Protection Packet is available for a donation of $5.00 plus $3.00 shipping and handling. Send $8.00 to TLD Ministries, P.O. Box 40, Lowell, MI 49331. You may use your MasterCard, VISA, or American Express and call 1-616-698-6448.  Item # P5
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Your names have been written in Heaven… "It is not by accident that you are called by My Mother, for your names have been written in Heaven.... But with this great grace you have great responsibility to send this Message from Heaven throughout the world, for if you are able to recover just one more for Heaven, an additional star shall be placed in your crown." - Jesus, August 5, 1975

A great obligation to go forward... "It is not by accident that you are called by My Mother, for it is by merit and the prayers that have risen to Heaven for your salvation.  For those who have received the grace to hear the Message from Heaven, you have a great obligation to go forward and bring this Message to your brothers and sisters.  Do not expect a rest upon your earth, for you will have eternal rest very soon." - Jesus, June 12, 1976

The sin of omission...  "The sin of omission shall condemn many to hell, be they layman or Hierarchy.  I repeat:  not the sin of commission, but the sin of omission will commit many to hell."  Our Lady of the Roses,  October 6, 1980

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